Women With a History of Preeclampsia Exhibit Accelerated Aging and Unfavorable Profiles of Senescence Markers.

BACKGROUND: Senescence, a mechanism of cellular aging, which is characterized by irreversible proliferation arrest and a proinflammatory secretory phenotype, has been documented in women with preeclampsia. As cellular senescence can persist and progress, we postulated that it is associated with accelerated aging phenotype and accumulation of comorbidities in women with a history of preeclampsia. METHODS: We included a cohort of women with a history of preeclampsia (n=40) age- and parity-matched to a group of referent women with normotensive pregnancies (n=40). Women with prior major cardiovascular events, neurological, or autoimmune conditions were excluded. We collected urine and blood samples to study markers of aging, data on multimorbidity at the time of enrollment, and prospectively followed them for events over the course of 6 years, on average. RESULTS: Women with a history of preeclampsia exhibited unfavorable aging profiles compared with referent women, including decreased urinary α-Klotho (P=0.018); increased leptin (P=0.016) and leptin/adiponectin ratio (P=0.027), and increased extracellular vesicles positive for tissue factor (P=0.025). Women with a history of preeclampsia likewise had a higher rate of comorbidities at the time of enrollment (P=0.003) and had a 4× higher risk of developing major cardiovascular events compared with referent women (P=0.003). CONCLUSIONS: Our data suggest that a history of preeclampsia is associated with accelerated aging as indicated by senescence marker differences and the accumulation of multimorbidity later in life. Targeting cellular senescence may offer novel, mechanism-based approaches for the diagnosis and treatment of adverse health outcomes in women with a history of preeclampsia.

Discordance Between Very Low-Density Lipoprotein Cholesterol and Low-Density Lipoprotein Cholesterol Increases Cardiovascular Disease Risk in a Geographically Defined Cohort.

BACKGROUND: Clinical risk scores are used to identify those at high risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD). Despite preventative efforts, residual risk remains for many individuals. Very low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (VLDL-C) and lipid discordance could be contributors to the residual risk of ASCVD. METHODS AND RESULTS: Cardiovascular disease-free residents, aged ≥40 years, living in Olmsted County, Minnesota, were identified through the Rochester Epidemiology Project. Low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) and VLDL-C were estimated from clinically ordered lipid panels using the Sampson equation. Participants were categorized into concordant and discordant lipid pairings based on clinical cut points. Rates of incident ASCVD, including percutaneous coronary intervention, coronary artery bypass grafting, stroke, or myocardial infarction, were calculated during follow-up. The association of LDL-C and VLDL-C with ASCVD was assessed using Cox proportional hazards regression. Interaction between LDL-C and VLDL-C was assessed. The study population (n=39 098) was primarily White race (94%) and female sex (57%), with a mean age of 54 years. VLDL-C (per 10-mg/dL increase) was significantly associated with an increased risk of incident ASCVD (hazard ratio, 1.07 [95% CI, 1.05-1.09]; P<0.001]) after adjustment for traditional risk factors. The interaction between LDL-C and VLDL-C was not statistically significant (P=0.11). Discordant individuals with high VLDL-C and low LDL-C experienced the highest rate of incident ASCVD events, 16.9 per 1000 person-years, during follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: VLDL-C and lipid discordance are associated with a greater risk of ASCVD and can be estimated from clinically ordered lipid panels to improve ASCVD risk assessment.

Lipoprotein Insulin Resistance Score and Mortality Risk Stratification in Heart Failure.

BACKGROUND: Higher total serum cholesterol is associated with lower mortality in heart failure. Evaluating associations between lipoprotein subfractions and mortality among people with heart failure may provide insights into this observation. METHODS: We prospectively enrolled a community cohort of people with heart failure from 2003 to 2012 and assessed vital status through 2021. Plasma collected at enrollment was used to measure lipoprotein subfractions via nuclear magnetic resonance spectroscopy. A composite score of 6 lipoprotein subfractions was generated using the lipoprotein insulin resistance index (LP-IR) algorithm. Using covariate-adjusted proportional hazards regression models, we evaluated associations between LP-IR score and all-cause mortality. RESULTS: Among 1382 patients with heart failure (median follow-up 13.9 years), a one-standard-deviation (SD) increment in LP-IR score was associated with lower mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 0.93; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.97-0.99). Among LP-IR parameters, mean high-density lipoprotein (HDL) particle size was significantly associated with lower mortality (HR per 1-SD decrement in mean HDL particle size = 0.83; 95% CI, 0.78-0.89), suggesting that the inverse association between LP-IR score and mortality may be driven by smaller mean HDL particle size. CONCLUSIONS: LP-IR score was inversely associated with mortality among patients with heart failure and may be driven by smaller HDL particle size.

Associations of Circulating Vascular Cell Adhesion Molecule-1 and Intercellular Adhesion Molecule-1 With Long-Term Cardiac Function.

BACKGROUND: Although VCAM-1 (vascular cell adhesion molecule-1) and ICAM-1 (intercellular adhesion molecule-1) have been associated with incident heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) and atrial fibrillation (AF), the associations of VCAM-1 and ICAM-1 with sensitive measures of cardiac structure/function are unclear. The objective of this study is to evaluate associations between VCAM-1, ICAM-1, and measures of cardiac structure and function as potential pathways through which cellular adhesion molecules promote HFpEF and AF risk. METHODS AND RESULTS: In MESA (Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis), we evaluated the associations of circulating VCAM-1 and ICAM-1 at examination 2 (2002-2004) with measures of cardiac structure/function on cardiac magnetic resonance imaging at examination 5 (2010-2011) after multivariable adjustment. Mediation analysis of left atrial (LA) strain on the association between VCAM-1 or ICAM-1 and AF or HFpEF was also performed. Overall, 2304 individuals (63±10 years; 47% men) with VCAM-1 or ICAM-1, cardiac magnetic resonance imaging, and covariate data were included in analysis. Higher VCAM-1 and ICAM-1 were associated with lower LA peak longitudinal strain and worse global circumferential left ventricular strain but were not associated with left ventricular myocardial scar or interstitial fibrosis. Lower LA peak longitudinal strain mediated 8% (95% CI, 2-30) of the relationship between VCAM-1 and HFpEF and 9% (95% CI, 2-21) of the relationship between VCAM-1 and AF. CONCLUSIONS: Higher VCAM-1 and ICAM-1 were associated with lower LA function and left ventricular systolic function but were not associated with myocardial scar or interstitial fibrosis. VCAM-1 and ICAM-1 may promote HFpEF and AF risk through impaired LA reservoir function.

Incremental Value of a Metabolic Risk Score for Heart Failure Mortality: A Population-Based Study.

BACKGROUND: Heart failure is heterogeneous syndrome with persistently high mortality. Nuclear magnetic resonance spectroscopy enables high-throughput metabolomics, suitable for precision phenotyping. We aimed to use targeted metabolomics to derive a metabolic risk score (MRS) that improved mortality risk stratification in heart failure. METHODS: Nuclear magnetic resonance was used to measure 21 metabolites (lipoprotein subspecies, branched-chain amino acids, alanine, GlycA (glycoprotein acetylation), ketone bodies, glucose, and citrate) in plasma collected from a heart failure community cohort. The MRS was derived using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator penalized Cox regression and temporal validation. The association between the MRS and mortality and whether risk stratification was improved over the Meta-Analysis Global Group in Chronic Heart Failure clinical risk score and NT-proBNP (N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide) levels were assessed. RESULTS: The study included 1382 patients (median age, 78 years, 52% men, 43% reduced ejection fraction) with a 5-year survival rate of 48% (95% CI, 46%-51%). The MRS included 9 metabolites measured. In the validation data set, a 1 standard deviation increase in the MRS was associated with a large increased rate of death (hazard ratio, 2.2 [95% CI, 1.9-2.5]) that remained after adjustment for Meta-Analysis Global Group in Chronic Heart Failure score and NT-proBNP (hazard ratio, 1.6 [95% CI, 1.3-1.9]). These associations did not differ by ejection fraction. The integrated discrimination and net reclassification indices, and Uno's C statistic, indicated that the addition of the MRS improved discrimination over Meta-Analysis Global Group in Chronic Heart Failure and NT-proBNP. CONCLUSIONS: This MRS developed in a heart failure community cohort was associated with a large excess risk of death and improved risk stratification beyond an established risk score and clinical markers.

The Importance of Estimating Excess Deaths Regionally During the COVID-19 Pandemic.

National or statewide estimates of excess deaths have limited value to understanding the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic regionally. We assessed excess deaths in a 9-county geographically defined population that had low rates of COVID-19 and widescale availability of testing early in the pandemic, well-annotated clinical data, and coverage by 2 medical examiner's offices. We compared mortality rates (MRs) per 100,000 person-years in 2020 and 2021 with those in the 2019 reference period and MR ratios (MRRs). In 2020 and 2021, 177 and 219 deaths, respectively, were attributed to COVID-19 (MR = 52 and 66 per 100,000 person-years, respectively). COVID-19 MRs were highest in males, older persons, those living in rural areas, and those with 7 or more chronic conditions. Compared with 2019, we observed a 10% excess death rate in 2020 (MRR = 1.10 [95% CI, 1.04 to 1.15]), with excess deaths in females, older adults, and those with 7 or more chronic conditions. In contrast, we did not observe excess deaths overall in 2021 compared with 2019 (MRR = 1.04 [95% CI, 0.99 to 1.10]). However, those aged 18 to 39 years (MRR = 1.36 [95% CI, 1.03 to 1.80) and those with 0 or 1 chronic condition (MRR = 1.28 [95% CI, 1.05 to 1.56]) or 7 or more chronic conditions (MRR = 1.09 [95% CI, 1.03 to 1.15]) had increased mortality compared with 2019. This work highlights the value of leveraging regional populations that experienced a similar pandemic wave timeline, mitigation strategies, testing availability, and data quality.

Frailty and Metabolic Vulnerability in Heart Failure: A Community Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Frailty is common in heart failure (HF) and is associated with death but not routinely captured clinically. Frailty is linked with inflammation and malnutrition, which can be assessed by a novel plasma multimarker score: the metabolic vulnerability index (MVX). We sought to evaluate the associations between frailty and MVX and their prognostic impact. METHODS AND RESULTS: In an HF community cohort (2003-2012), we measured frailty as a proportion of deficits present out of 32 physical limitations and comorbidities, MVX by nuclear magnetic resonance spectroscopy, and collected extensive longitudinal clinical data. Patients were categorized by frailty score (≤0.14, >0.14 and ≤0.27, >0.27) and MVX score (≤50, >50 and ≤60, >60 and ≤70, >70). Cox models estimated associations of frailty and MVX with death, adjusted for Meta-Analysis Global Group in Chronic Heart Failure (MAGGIC) score and NT-proBNP (N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide). Uno's C-statistic measured the incremental value of MVX beyond frailty and clinical factors. Weibull's accelerated failure time regression assessed whether MVX mediated the association between frailty and death. We studied 985 patients (median age, 77; 48% women). Frailty and MVX were weakly correlated (Spearman's ρ=0.21). The highest frailty group experienced an increased rate of death, independent of MVX, MAGGIC score, and NT-proBNP (hazard ratio, 3.3 [95% CI, 2.5-4.2]). Frailty improved Uno's c-statistic beyond MAGGIC score and NT-proBNP (0.69-0.73). MVX only mediated 3.3% and 4.5% of the association between high and medium frailty groups and death, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: In this HF cohort, frailty and MVX are weakly correlated. Both independently contribute to stratifying the risk of death, suggesting that they capture distinct domains of vulnerability in HF.

Circulating ketone bodies and mortality in heart failure: a community cohort study.

Background: The relationship between ketone bodies (KB) and mortality in patients with heart failure (HF) syndrome has not been well established. Objectives: The aim of this study is to assess the distribution of KB in HF, identify clinical correlates, and examine the associations between plasma KB and all-cause mortality in a population-based HF cohort. Methods: The plasma KB levels were measured by nuclear magnetic resonance spectroscopy. Multivariable linear regression was used to examine associations between clinical correlates and KB levels. Proportional hazard regression was employed to examine associations between KB (represented as both continuous and categorical variables) and mortality, with adjustment for several clinical covariates. Results: Among the 1,382 HF patients with KB measurements, the median (IQR) age was 78 (68, 84) and 52% were men. The median (IQR) KB was found to be 180 (134, 308) µM. Higher KB levels were associated with advanced HF (NYHA class III-IV) and higher NT-proBNP levels (both P < 0.001). The median follow-up was 13.9 years, and the 5-year mortality rate was 51.8% [95% confidence interval (CI): 49.1%-54.4%]. The risk of death increased when KB levels were higher (HRhigh vs. low group 1.23; 95% CI: 1.05-1.44), independently of a validated clinical risk score. The association between higher KB and mortality differed by ejection fraction (EF) and was noticeably stronger among patients with preserved EF. Conclusions: Most patients with HF exhibited KB levels that were consistent with those found in healthy adults. Elevated levels of KB were observed in patients with advanced HF. Higher KB levels were found to be associated with an increased risk of death, particularly in patients with preserved EF.

Development and Validation of a Protein Risk Score for Mortality in Heart Failure : A Community Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Heart failure (HF) is a complex clinical syndrome with high mortality. Current risk stratification approaches lack precision. High-throughput proteomics could improve risk prediction. Its use in clinical practice to guide the management of patients with HF depends on validation and evidence of clinical benefit. OBJECTIVE: To develop and validate a protein risk score for mortality in patients with HF. DESIGN: Community-based cohort. SETTING: Southeast Minnesota. PARTICIPANTS: Patients with HF enrolled between 2003 and 2012 and followed through 2021. MEASUREMENTS: A total of 7289 plasma proteins in 1351 patients with HF were measured using the SomaScan Assay (SomaLogic). A protein risk score was derived using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression and temporal validation in patients enrolled between 2003 and 2007 (development cohort) and 2008 and 2012 (validation cohort). Multivariable Cox regression was used to examine the association between the protein risk score and mortality. The performance of the protein risk score to predict 5-year mortality risk was assessed using calibration plots, decision curves, and relative utility analyses and compared with a clinical model, including the Meta-Analysis Global Group in Chronic Heart Failure mortality risk score and N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide. RESULTS: The development (n = 855; median age, 78 years; 50% women; 29% with ejection fraction <40%) and validation cohorts (n = 496; median age, 76 years; 45% women; 33% with ejection fraction <40%) were mostly similar. In the development cohort, 38 unique proteins were selected for the protein risk score. Independent of ejection fraction, the protein risk score demonstrated good calibration, reclassified mortality risk particularly at the extremes of the risk distribution, and showed greater clinical utility compared with the clinical model. LIMITATION: Participants were predominantly of European ancestry, potentially limiting the generalizability of the findings to different patient populations. CONCLUSION: Validation of the protein risk score demonstrated good calibration and evidence of predicted benefits to stratify the risk for death in HF superior to that of clinical methods. Further studies are needed to prospectively evaluate the score's performance in diverse populations and determine risk thresholds for interventions. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: Division of Intramural Research at the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute of the National Institutes of Health.

The Metabolic Vulnerability Index: A Novel Marker for Mortality Prediction in Heart Failure.

BACKGROUND: Inflammation and protein energy malnutrition are associated with heart failure (HF) mortality. The metabolic vulnerability index (MVX) is derived from markers of inflammation and malnutrition and measured by nuclear magnetic resonance spectroscopy. MVX has not been examined in HF. OBJECTIVES: The authors sought to examine the prognostic value of MVX in patients with HF. METHODS: The authors prospectively assembled a population-based cohort of patients with HF from 2003 to 2012 and measured MVX scores with a nuclear magnetic resonance scan from plasma collected at enrollment. Patients were divided into 4 MVX score groups and followed until March 31, 2021. RESULTS: The authors studied 1,382 patients (median age: 78 years; 48% women). The median MVX score was 64.6. Patients with higher MVX were older, more likely to be male, have atrial fibrillation, have higher NYHA functional class, and have HF duration of >18 months. Higher MVX was associated with mortality independent of Meta-analysis Global Group in Chronic Heart Failure score, ejection fraction, and other prognostic biomarkers. Compared to those with the lowest MVX, the HRs for MVX groups 2, 3, and 4 were 1.2 (95% CI: 0.9-1.4), 1.6 (95% CI: 1.3-2.0), and 1.8 (95% CI: 1.4-2.2), respectively (Ptrend < 0.001). Measures of model improvement document the added value of MVX in HF for classifying the risk of death beyond the Meta-analysis Global Group in Chronic Heart Failure score and other biomarkers. CONCLUSIONS: In this HF community cohort, MVX was strongly associated with mortality independently of established clinical factors and improved mortality risk classification beyond clinically validated markers. These data underscore the potential of MVX to stratify risk in HF.

Biomarkers of cellular senescence and risk of death in humans.

A robust and heterogenous secretory phenotype is a core feature of most senescent cells. In addition to mediators of age-related pathology, components of the senescence associated secretory phenotype (SASP) have been studied as biomarkers of senescent cell burden and, in turn, biological age. Therefore, we hypothesized that circulating concentrations of candidate senescence biomarkers, including chemokines, cytokines, matrix remodeling proteins, and growth factors, could predict mortality in older adults. We assessed associations between plasma levels of 28 SASP proteins and risk of mortality over a median follow-up of 6.3 years in 1923 patients 65 years of age or older with zero or one chronic condition at baseline. Overall, the five senescence biomarkers most strongly associated with an increased risk of death were GDF15, RAGE, VEGFA, PARC, and MMP2, after adjusting for age, sex, race, and the presence of one chronic condition. The combination of biomarkers and clinical and demographic covariates exhibited a significantly higher c-statistic for risk of death (0.79, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.76-0.82) than the covariates alone (0.70, CI: 0.67-0.74) (p < 0.001). Collectively, these findings lend further support to biomarkers of cellular senescence as informative predictors of clinically important health outcomes in older adults, including death.

Guide to assembling a successful K99/R00 application.

The National Institutes of Health's (NIH) K99/R00 Pathway to Independence Award offers promising postdoctoral researchers and clinician-scientists an opportunity to receive research support at both the mentored and the independent levels with the goal of facilitating a timely transition to a tenure-track faculty position. This transitional program has been generally successful, with most K99/R00 awardees successfully securing R01-equivalent funding by the end of the R00 period. However, often highly promising proposals fail because of poor grantsmanship. This overview provides guidance from the perspective of long-standing members of the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute's Mentored Transition to Independence study section for the purpose of helping mentors and trainees regarding how best to assemble competitive K99/R00 applications.

Artificial Intelligence-based Efficacy Prediction of Phase 3 Clinical Trial for Repurposing Heart Failure Therapies.

Introduction: Drug repurposing involves finding new therapeutic uses for already approved drugs, which can save costs as their pharmacokinetics and pharmacodynamics are already known. Predicting efficacy based on clinical endpoints is valuable for designing phase 3 trials and making Go/No-Go decisions, given the potential for confounding effects in phase 2. Objectives: This study aims to predict the efficacy of the repurposed Heart Failure (HF) drugs for the Phase 3 Clinical Trial. Methods: Our study presents a comprehensive framework for predicting drug efficacy in phase 3 trials, which combines drug-target prediction using biomedical knowledgebases with statistical analysis of real-world data. We developed a novel drug-target prediction model that uses low-dimensional representations of drug chemical structures and gene sequences, and biomedical knowledgebase. Furthermore, we conducted statistical analyses of electronic health records to assess the effectiveness of repurposed drugs in relation to clinical measurements (e.g., NT-proBNP). Results: We identified 24 repurposed drugs (9 with a positive effect and 15 with a non-positive) for heart failure from 266 phase 3 clinical trials. We used 25 genes related to heart failure for drug-target prediction, as well as electronic health records (EHR) from the Mayo Clinic for screening, which contained over 58,000 heart failure patients treated with various drugs and categorized by heart failure subtypes. Our proposed drug-target predictive model performed exceptionally well in all seven tests in the BETA benchmark compared to the six cutting-edge baseline methods (i.e., best performed in 266 out of 404 tasks). For the overall prediction of the 24 drugs, our model achieved an AUCROC of 82.59% and PRAUC (average precision) of 73.39%. Conclusion: The study demonstrated exceptional results in predicting the efficacy of repurposed drugs for phase 3 clinical trials, highlighting the potential of this method to facilitate computational drug repurposing.

Association Between Fluctuations in Blood Lipid Levels Over Time With Incident Alzheimer Disease and Alzheimer Disease-Related Dementias.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Prevention strategies for Alzheimer disease and Alzheimer disease-related dementias (AD/ADRDs) are urgently needed. Lipid variability, or fluctuations in blood lipid levels at different points in time, has not been examined extensively and may contribute to the risk of AD/ADRD. Lipid panels are a part of routine screening in clinical practice and routinely available in electronic health records (EHR). Thus, in a large geographically defined population-based cohort, we investigated the variation of multiple lipid types and their association to the development of AD/ADRD. METHODS: All residents living in Olmsted County, Minnesota on the index date January 1, 2006, aged 60 years or older without an AD/ADRD diagnosis were identified. Persons with ≥3 lipid measurements including total cholesterol, triglycerides, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), or high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) in the 5 years before index date were included. Lipid variation was defined as any change in individual's lipid levels over time regardless of direction and was measured using variability independent of the mean (VIM). Associations between lipid variation quintiles and incident AD/ADRD were assessed using Cox proportional hazards regression. Participants were followed through 2018 for incident AD/ADRD. RESULTS: The final analysis included 11,571 participants (mean age 71 years; 54% female). Median follow-up was 12.9 years with 2,473 incident AD/ADRD cases. After adjustment for confounding variables including sex, race, baseline lipid measurements, education, BMI, and lipid-lowering treatment, participants in the highest quintile of total cholesterol variability had a 19% increased risk of incident AD/ADRD, and those in highest quintile of triglycerides, variability had a 23% increased risk. DISCUSSION: In a large EHR derived cohort, those in the highest quintile of variability for total cholesterol and triglyceride levels had an increased risk of incident AD/ADRD. Further studies to identify the mechanisms behind this association are needed.

Risk of Adult Hypertension in Offspring From Pregnancies Complicated by Hypertension: Population-Based Estimates.

BACKGROUND: Hypertensive disorders of pregnancy (HDP) have been associated with an increased risk of chronic hypertension for both mothers and offspring. We sought to quantify the incidence of chronic hypertension in offspring from HDP-affected pregnancies in a large, population-based cohort study. Furthermore, we evaluate the association of HDP exposure in utero and maternal chronic hypertension in offspring. METHODS: We performed a population-based cohort study of 8755 individuals born during 1976 to 1982 to 7544 women who all resided in the same community at the time of delivery. HDP were identified using a previously validated algorithm. Diagnosis of chronic hypertension in mothers and their offspring was determined using diagnostic codes. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to assess the association between HDP and chronic hypertension. RESULTS: HDP exposure (hazard ratio, 1.50 [95% CI, 1.18-1.90]) and maternal chronic hypertension (hazard ratio, 1.73 [95% CI, 1.48-2.02]) were both associated with a significant increased risk for chronic hypertension in offspring. Both risk factors remained significantly associated with increased risk of hypertension in offspring when included together in a multivariate model. Having both exposures was associated with a 2.4-fold increase in the risk of hypertension in offspring, suggesting a synergistic additive interaction. CONCLUSIONS: HDP exposure in gestation and maternal hypertension are both independently associated with an increased risk of chronic hypertension in offspring. Our results suggest that HDP exposure in utero, in addition to maternal chronic hypertension, may lead to a greater risk for the development of hypertension in offspring.

Hepatocyte Growth Factor and 10-Year Change in Left Ventricular Structure: The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA).

Background: Hepatocyte growth factor (HGF) is a cytokine linked to incident heart failure (HF), particularly HF with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF). Increases in left ventricular (LV) mass and concentric remodelling defined by increasing mass-to-volume (M:V) ratios are imaging risk markers for HFpEF. We aimed to determine if HGF is associated with adverse LV remodelling. Methods: We studied 4907 participants in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA), free of cardiovascular disease and HF at baseline, who had HGF measured and cardiac magnetic resonance imaging (CMR) performed at baseline. Of these, 2921 completed a second CMR at 10 years. We examined the cross-sectional and longitudinal associations of HGF and LV structural parameters using multivariable-adjusted linear mixed-effect models, adjusting for cardiovascular disease risk factors and N-terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide. Results: The mean (SD) for age was 62 (10) years; 52% were female. Median (interquartile range) for HGF level was 890 pg/mL (745-1070). At baseline, the highest HGF tertile, compared to the lowest, was associated with a greater M:V ratio (relative difference 1.94 [95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.72, 3.17]) and lower LV end-diastolic volume (-2.07 mL [95% CI: -3.72, -0.42)]. In longitudinal analysis, the highest HGF tertile was associated with increasing M:V ratio (10-year difference: 4.68 [95% CI: 2.64, 6.72]) and decreasing LV end-diastolic volume (-4.74 [95% CI: -6.87, -2.62]). Conclusions: In a community-based cohort, higher HGF levels were independently associated with a concentric LV remodelling pattern of increasing M:V ratio and decreasing LV end-diastolic volume by CMR over 10 years. These associations may reflect an intermediate phenotype explaining the association of HGF with HFpEF risk.

Contexte: Le facteur de croissance des hépatocytes (hepatocyte growth factor; HGF) est une cytokine associée à l'insuffisance cardiaque (IC), particulièrement l'IC avec fraction d'éjection préservée (ICFEP). Une augmentation de la masse du ventricule gauche (VG) et un remodelage concentrique du VG, défini par une augmentation du ratio masse/volume (M:V), sont des marqueurs de risque d'ICFEP à l'examen d'imagerie. Nous souhaitions déterminer si le taux de HGF est associé à un remodelage préjudiciable du VG. Méthodologie: Nous avons étudié 4 907 participants à l'étude multiethnique sur l'athérosclérose (Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis; MESA) qui, au départ, ne présentaient pas de maladie cardiovasculaire ni d'IC et pour qui le taux de HGF avait été mesuré et une imagerie cardiaque par résonance magnétique (IRMc) avait été réalisée. Parmi ces personnes, 2 921 ont subi une seconde IRMc à 10 ans. Nous avons examiné les associations intersectionnelles et longitudinales entre le taux de HGF et les paramètres structurels du VG à l'aide de modèles linéaires à effets mixtes multivariés, ajustés pour les facteurs de risque de maladie cardiovasculaire et les propeptides natriurétiques de type B N-terminal. Résultats: L'âge moyen des participants était de 62 ans (écart type : 10), et 52 % étaient des femmes. Le taux de HGF médian était de 890 pg/ml (écart interquartile : 745 à 1070). Au départ, comparativement au tertile inférieur du taux de HGF, le tertile supérieur était associé à un ratio M:V plus important (différence relative : 1,94; intervalle de confiance [IC] à 95 % : 0,72 à 3,17) et à un volume diastolique final du VG plus faible (-2,07 ml; IC à 95 % : -3,72 à -0,42). À l'analyse longitudinale, le tertile supérieur du taux de HGF était associé à un ratio M:V plus élevé (différence sur 10 ans : 4,68; IC à 95 % : 2,64 à 6,72) et à une réduction du volume diastolique final du VG (-4,74; IC à 95 % : -6,87 à -2,62). Conclusions: Dans une cohorte représentative de la population, un taux de HGF plus élevé était associé de manière indépendante à un schéma de remodelage concentrique du VG présentant une augmentation du ratio M:V et à une diminution du volume diastolique final du VG à l'IRMc sur 10 ans. Ces associations pourraient être représentatives d'un phénotype intermédiaire expliquant l'association entre le taux de HGF et le risque d'ICFEP.

Health Care Utilization and Death in Patients With Heart Failure During the COVID-19 Pandemic.

Objective: To compare the 1-year health care utilization and mortality in persons living with heart failure (HF) before and during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. Patients and Methods: Residents of a 9-county area in southeastern Minnesota aged 18 years or older with a HF diagnosis on January 1, 2019; January 1, 2020; and January 1, 2021, were identified and followed up for 1-year for vital status, emergency department (ED) visits, and hospitalizations. Results: We identified 5631 patients with HF (mean age, 76 years; 53% men) on January 1, 2019, 5996 patients (mean age, 76 years; 52% men) on January 1, 2020, and 6162 patients (mean age, 75 years; 54% men) on January 1, 2021. After adjustment for comorbidities and risk factors, patients with HF in 2020 and patients with HF in 2021 experienced similar risks of mortality compared with those in 2019. After adjustment, patients with HF in 2020 and 2021 were less likely to experience all-cause hospitalizations (2020: rate ratio [RR], 0.88; 95% CI, 0.81-0.95; 2021: RR, 0.90; 95% CI, 0.83-0.97) compared with patients in 2019. Patients with HF in 2020 were also less likely to experience ED visits (RR, 0.85; 95% CI, 0.80-0.92). Conclusion: In this large population-based study in southeastern Minnesota, we observed an approximately 10% decrease in hospitalizations among patients with HF in 2020 and 2021 and a 15% decrease in ED visits in 2020 compared with those in 2019. Despite the change in health care utilization, we found no difference in the 1-year mortality between patients with HF in 2020 and those in 2021 compared with those in 2019. It is unknown whether any longer-term consequences will be observed.

Cohort study examining associations between ceramide levels and risk of multimorbidity among persons participating in the Mayo Clinic Biobank.

OBJECTIVE: Ceramides have been associated with several ageing-related conditions but have not been studied as a general biomarker of multimorbidity (MM). Therefore, we determined whether ceramide levels are associated with the rapid development of MM. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Mayo Clinic Biobank. PARTICIPANTS: 1809 persons in the Mayo Clinic Biobank ≥65 years without MM at the time of enrolment, and with ceramide levels assayed from stored plasma. PRIMARY OUTCOME MEASURE: Persons were followed for a median of 5.7 years through their medical records to identify new diagnoses of 20 chronic conditions. The number of new conditions was divided by the person-years of follow-up to calculate the rate of accumulation of new chronic conditions. RESULTS: Higher levels of C18:0 and C20:0 were associated with a more rapid rate of accumulation of chronic conditions (C18:0 z score RR: 1.30, 95% CI: 1.10 to 1.53; C20:0 z score RR: 1.26, 95% CI: 1.07 to 1.49). Higher C18:0 and C20:0 levels were also associated with an increased risk of hypertension and coronary artery disease. CONCLUSIONS: C18:0 and C20:0 were associated with an increased risk of cardiometabolic conditions. When combined with biomarkers specific to other diseases of ageing, these ceramides may be a useful component of a biomarker panel for predicting accelerated ageing.

Missense Genetic Variation of ICAM1 and Incident Heart Failure.

BACKGROUND: Intercellular adhesion molecule-1 (ICAM-1) is a cell surface protein that participates in endothelial activation and is hypothesized to play a central role in heart failure (HF). We evaluated associations of ICAM1 missense genetic variants with circulating ICAM-1 levels and with incident HF. METHODS AND RESULTS: We identified 3 missense variants within ICAM1 (rs5491, rs5498 and rs1799969) and evaluated their associations with ICAM-1 levels in the Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults Study and the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA). We determined the association among these 3 variants and incident HF in MESA. We separately evaluated significant associations in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study. Of the 3 missense variants, rs5491 was common in Black participants (minor allele frequency [MAF] > 20%) and rare in other race/ethnic groups (MAF < 5%). In Black participants, the presence of rs5491 was associated with higher levels of circulating ICAM-1 at 2 timepoints separated by 8 years. Among Black participants in MESA (n = 1600), the presence of rs5491 was associated with an increased risk of incident HF with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF; HR = 2.30; [95% CI 1.25-4.21; P = 0.007]). The other ICAM1 missense variants (rs5498 and rs1799969) were associated with ICAM-1 levels, but there were no associations with HF. In ARIC, rs5491 was significantly associated with incident HF (HR = 1.24 [95% CI 1.02 - 1.51]; P = 0.03), with a similar direction of effect for HFpEF that was not statistically significant. CONCLUSIONS: A common ICAM1 missense variant among Black individuals may be associated with increased risk of HF, which may be HFpEF-specific.

Variability in Lipid Levels and Risk for Cardiovascular Disease: An Electronic Health Record-Based Population Cohort Study.

Background Larger within-patient variability of lipid levels has been associated with increased risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD); however, measures of lipid variability require ≥3 measurements and are not currently used clinically. We investigated the feasibility of calculating lipid variability within a large electronic health record-based population cohort and assessed associations with incident CVD. Methods and Results We identified all individuals ≥40 years of age who resided in Olmsted County, MN, on January 1, 2006 (index date), without prior CVD, defined as myocardial infarction, coronary artery bypass graft surgery, percutaneous coronary intervention, or CVD death. Patients with ≥3 measurements of total cholesterol, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, or triglycerides during the 5 years before the index date were retained. Lipid variability was calculated using variability independent of the mean. Patients were followed through December 31, 2020 for incident CVD. We identified 19 652 individuals (mean age 61 years; 55% female), who were CVD-free and had variability independent of the mean calculated for at least 1 lipid type. After adjustment, those with highest total cholesterol variability had a 20% increased risk of CVD (Q5 versus Q1 hazard ratio, 1.20 [95% CI, 1.06-1.37]). Results were similar for low-density lipoprotein cholesterol and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol. Conclusions In a large electronic health record-based population cohort, high variability in total cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol was associated with an increased risk of CVD, independent of traditional risk factors, suggesting it may be a possible risk marker and target for intervention. Lipid variability can be calculated in the electronic health record environment, but more research is needed to determine its clinical utility.